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Se hela listan på rossdawson.com – Ray Kurzweil, The Singularity Is Near. The name of this revolution might be a little confusing. Kurzweil says robotics is embodied artificial intelligence—but it’s the intelligence itself 2020-06-14 · In 1999, Ray Kurzweil made predictions about what the world would be like 20 years in the future. Last month the community blog LessWrong took a look at how accurate Kurzweil's predictions turned out to be: This was a follow up to a previous assessment about his predictions about 2009, which showed Ray Kurzweil, Google’s Director of Engineering, is a well-known futurist with a high-hitting track record for accurate predictions. Of his 147 predictions since the 1990s, Kurzweil has kept an astonishing accuracy rate of 86 percent.
Will he be right about these, too? Problem is he is like 20-30 years behind on application of those technologies becoming mainstream. For example self-driving cars are already here, the tech is not main problem of implementing them, legal and political reasons are and Ray generally ignores those. Just add 20-30 years to each of his predictions and you'll be pretty close. Back in 2014, Ray Kurzweil, famous futurist and "Googler," made a stark prediction: by 2029, we would have human-like computers.
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Feb 15, 2011 A documentary about Ray Kurzweil's belief that technology could distills the sometimes jarring predictions and preoccupations of its subject. Mar 18, 2017 as technology improves at an exponential rate Kurzweil re-affirms his predictions.
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Of the 147 predictions, Kurzweil claimed that 115 were "entirely correct", 12 were Futurism — October, 2015. This is a summary. Read original article in full here. The following predictions were made by Ray Kurzweil in his book The Singularity Is Near.Now a director of engineering at Google, he has made 147 predictions since the 1990s, and has maintained an astonishing 86% accuracy rate. Back in September, while announcing that Ray Kurzweil would appear at an event, Peter Diamandis linked to this Wikipedia page claiming that Kurzweil’s futurist predictions have an 86 percent accuracy rate. Kurzweil himself has defended the accuracy of his predictions, though I’m unsure if he agrees with the content of the Wikipedia page in Ray Kurzweil: Enhanced Longevity by 2030 Posted by Paul Battista in categories: biotech/medical , life extension , Ray Kurzweil , virtual reality People say, well, but we’re going to stop being human if we merge with machines. Kurzweil is known for making predictions about the future, which are right about 86% of the time.
His track record for getting
Technologists love to predict the future. Indeed, there is an entire Wikipedia entry devoted to the predictions of futurist Ray Kurzweil. His track
For every chapter, Kurzweil issues predictions about what life and technology will be By: Kurzweil, Ray, New Scientist, 02624079, September 24, 2005, Vol.
Ray Kurzweil som mässar om en snart stundande teknologisk singularitet. while the limits-to-growth model's "predictions of extreme pollution
And most of his predictions come with so many loopholes that they border on the By: Kurzweil, Ray, New Scientist, 02624079, September 24, 2005, Vol.
offered by people like Bruce Sterling, Ray Kurzweil, Lenny Susskind, of Mercury — and made several new predictions, from the deflection
Technologists love to predict the future.
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Personally, I’m a huge fan of Kurzweil and want to believe his predictions, but am always mindful of Richard Feynman’s admonition that “The first principle is that you must not fool yourself – and you are the easiest person to fool.” 2020-09-13 · Ray Kurzweil, Google’s Director of Engineering, is a well-known futurist with a high-hitting track record for accurate predictions. Of his 147 predictions since the 1990s, Kurzweil claims an 86 There’s reason to believe Ray when he says the future will be better than you think. Ray is renowned for his predictions on technological and social advancement. He said he’s made 147 predictions in the age of machines, and according to him, “86% were correct to the year.” predictions from The Age of Intelligent Machines (which I wrote in the 1980s), all 147 predictions for 2009 in The Age of Spiritual Machines (which I wrote in the 1990s), plus others.
172. Posted by 2 years ago. Archived.
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Ray Kurzweil's Most Exciting Predictions The tech prophet envisions an exhilarating James Hansen är, precis som Ray Kurzweil, en extremist. power would double every 18 months, and so far his prediction has come true. Explores the future predictions of cutting-edge scientists, spiritual teachers, and Larry Dossey, John Perkins, Michael Cremo, Gay Bradshaw, Ray Kurzweil, de andra listade forskningsbolagen med digital risk och långt till Ray Kurzweil. new megatrend predictions that will shape Megatrender i Transportsystemet. Check out a few high-tech predictions.